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Leanne Wood AM

Leanne Wood has been elected Leader of Plaid Cymru

Leanne Wood is a serious politician with many accomplishments and we congratulate her on her election.

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There are tens of millions of funds for economic development and business support that are available but which do not seem to be channelled through to the Welsh economy – and it doesn’t appear to be the WG’s fault! Apparantly, they are ‘bending over backward’ to do their bit. The days of ‘gold-plating’ are over it is claimed and, in fairness, there is some evidence for this.

Alot of this EU Convergance and UK grant finance is still not reaching the ‘real’ Welsh economy and private sector in spite of almost desperate measures such as:

  • huge reductions in the time taken for approval of grant applications (down in most cases to less than 2 weeks)
  • huge reductions in paperwork and red tape (which is minimal now)
  • marketing campaigns to raise awareness of their existance (they are even advertising on facebook (see graphic) for heaven’s sake!)
  • provision of support and hand holding to compose business plans and submit applications at local and regional levels
  • huge relaxation of  eligibility and even sectoral criteria (see Tourism Development)

So what are the problems? Well, the main obstacles appear to be that -

  • Banks will not provide match funding for even the best and most viable projects. This means that projects may be fully approved but cannot proceed because, in the current climate, match funding cannot be raised by borrowing. Banks are using the Catch 22 that a business has to be ‘viable’ before it will lend and the very act of asking for match funding means that the business must be ‘non-viable’ – therefore they won’t lend. Brilliant!
  • Even after approval has been given, many projects, small and large, are failing to take or spend the money leaving large amounts of allocated funds in limbo.
  • “You can take a horse to water but not make it drink” syndrome in Welsh private sector. Once burned twice shy Welsh businesses are not bothering to apply in the first place citing reasons such ‘ it’s not worth the candle’ or ‘too much hassle’ or ‘too much planning’. Any reason or excuse is given because there is a perception that getting a grant is a two-edged sword, a poisoned chalice or any other well-worn cliché you care to come up with . The belief and trust has gone completely. Even start-ups by kiddies with no experience are wary as hell. All those expressions of interest and application forms just go straight in the bin.
  • Service providers and contractors appear to be doubling or even trebling their prices if it is suspected that a grant has been applied for – therefore it’s not going to save the business any money – in fact it just causes delay, paperwork and grief with the distinct probability that a large investment of time and effort could go down the drain if the project is rejected or the bid for a tender fails. This is endemic to the current public sector procurement system. Basically, many private sector businesses just ‘don’t want to know’ when it comes to dealing with WG, Finance Wales, or County Council and these are the only channels through which these huge funds can be dispersed.

Therefore, should the blame really be laid at the door of private sector business  in Wales which has rightly or wrongly been accused of  being ‘non-entrepreneurial’ and lacking in aspiration!! (Gasp!)? Whatever the reasons, it appears that very significant amounts of  funding may be going to waste (and will go back to source). If this were Ireland, France, Greece or any other EU country this money would have disappeared in a flash. If Wales has any aspiration at all to be self governing and in charge of its own economic destiny then surely we need to be smarter and quicker to get these funds under the mattress before the Euro collapses and this money is clawed back to give to the ‘bankers’ in interest payments. N’est pas?

 

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Yes! It must be true. We now advise Dr.  Llwynog on all matters to do with the fight for Welsh Independence and the National Security of Wales. The proof is shown in our business card shown below. We now seek wealthy backers to fund our globetrotting so that we can ‘pop up’  in meetings and bedrooms everywhere.

Advisor to Dr.Liam Fox

By appointment: Political Scrap Book

Interesting note from Wikipedia: The Modern English word “fox” is Old English, and comes from the Proto-Germanic word fukh (hmmm… methinks a Twitter hashtag is being born! #fukh)

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This parody of the phone hacking scandal and the demise of the News of the Screws is an absolute classic Downfall. Enjoy.

 

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Adam PriceThe title of this post is a quote from an article written for Cambria Politico by Adam Price just after he relinquished his role as an MP.

There is a lot of speculation going on at the moment about the leadership of Plaid Cymru by Ieuan Wyn Jones. Will he go or won’t he? Is he to blame or not for the dire performance of Plaid in this election? Would changing the leader improve things? Probably not. There are more fundamental things wrong with Plaid that need to be addressed first. Price would undoubtedly make a good leader of Plaid but the difficulties of bringing him back into the fold given the state of the Party now, the entrenched hierarchy and the temptations available to him in the USA (or in business) seem insurmountable. As a canny politician, Mr.Price is not the man to commit political suicide even if it would be … for Wales.

As I see it, one of the most important of the problems facing Plaid is that Plaid is not perceived as the Party of Welsh Business. After all it is people’s jobs and the economy that are uppermost in most minds and although Plaid addressed this in part in their manifesto by no means was it top of the agenda lying buried beneath other things that only a minority of people give a flying toss about. One of the reasons for this is that most Plaid politicians appear to come from a public sector or vocational background and appear to have little or no conception of what goes on in business or what needs to be done to make an economy tick. This applies to Labour as well (more so) and Plaid and Labour must bear joint responsibility for the poor economic performance of Wales over the past electoral term. Since IWJ had the economic portfolio in the last WAG then this, in itself, is probably reason for him to take another role within Plaid. He was clearly hamstrung by Labour and ‘consensus’ politics in this role and it maybe needed someone more aggressive or manipulative.

Clinton’s ‘it’s the economy stupid’ mantra has been paid lip service to but otherwise ignored or not understood by the policy makers. The other Master Strategist that Plaid have not learned from is Lyndon Baines Johnson. It’s not necessarily about personal charisma or Media manipulation (there is no real Media in Wales) it’s about the ‘levers of power’ – where they are and how to pull them. IWJ had a major lever of power in his hands (the economic portfolio) and for whatever reason did not use this effectively on his own and Plaid’s behalf to stay or grow in power. LBJ would undoubtedly have used this to great advantage. Political power comes from the distribution of  patronage and again Plaid failed to grasp the simple concept that the handing out of jobs, funds and favours is the most effective surest way of building a power base. At its crudest level there was and never has been enough money in Plaid. LBJ was a genius at fund raising. In other words, Plaid leadership has shown almost complete lack of  understanding of how politics really works. It has committed the cardinal sin of naiveté.

There is no point in hoping for Adam Price to be Plaid’s Kennedy or even Salmond because this type of politician can only come to the fore in a Party that has thoroughly understood the politics of power, money and patronage. Plaid needs an interim leader that has the naked lust for power and behind the scenes influence that LBJ had in the Democratic Party in the 50s. Now that scant attention will be paid to Plaid for the next 4 years this is a good opportunity for such an individual to emerge within Plaid. However, no such individual will flourish or perform unless there is something in it for them such as … money. Sources of (real) money come from business so until Plaid faces up to the necessity to make itself attractive to business by espousing relevant economic policies and down playing its Left of Labour positioning then it is doomed to fragment and fade from relevance.

Politicians in Plaid seem to think that politics in a Democracy is all about representing the views of the people and implementing their wishes through manifesto policies. Errrm… No. Politics is not about that. Voter wishes and opinions fluctuate wildly depending on economic circumstances, performance of the National rugby team, or mood. So trying to second guess or represent this cannot be done. To put it crudely, success and leadership comes from imposing a personal ambition and vision on the electorate by persuasion, emotional and monetary blackmail and demagoguery. Voters will follow if they are led; consulting them on the direction is pointless and politicians should be skilled enough not to force them down paths or into pens they don’t want to go or to identify policy areas that ‘spook’ them. Focus groups are fine for identifying these spooky or politically boggy areas. There has been too much concentration on manifestos and policy statements but who ever reads this apart from political opponents, anoraks and the Media. The ordinary voter gets his or her voting intention from their families, peers and friends at work, conversations in the pub and their economic circumstance, not from politicians who they never see or political programmes on the telly that aren’t watched.

The current phrase/excuse going around at the moment is that politicians have been ‘hard working’ on our behalf (and are exhausted)!?! The current lot don’t know the meaning of hard work. Anyone who has ever studied the history of politics will know how very much harder older generations of politicians worked to get people’s votes. A current complaint is that nobody has ever seen or met any of the candidates in person – with such a small country as Wales there is absolutely no excuse for candidates not to have met every single person in the constituency no matter up which dirt track or mean street, pressed their flesh looked them in the eye  and asked for their vote – if LBJ did it in Texas it can and must be done here. This is what will differentiate Plaid from the others. This is what will work.

Another ‘elephant in the room’ is that the issues of Language and Nationalism are hopelessly entwined to the detriment of intelligent debate on both, to the complete confusion of the electorate, and a happy exploitative hunting ground for political opponents. Nationalism in Scotland has been successfully promoted by the SNP and if Plaid are to pursue Independence and a Nationalist agenda (which they should) they must somehow separate it from the Language. You can be proud of (nationalistic about) your country even if you cannot converse in the language of Heaven. Unless this dichotomy can be avoided the Valleys and English speaking urban areas will always go back to Labour (as they have done in droves this time around). This is a mould that must be broken.

In an earlier post I wrote that I thought that Wales had a good set of politicians on the whole. I think I shall revise that to say that the political class we have in Plaid are well meaning and mostly good people but they are hopeless ‘politicians’. Maybe that is not a bad thing and maybe it is the ‘Welsh Way’ – but as far as getting things done in a dangerous world and difficult competitive economy it is surely not enough nor does it advance the Cause of Wales as a Nation.

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Well what can I say?

Big big disappointment. Frustration, anger, contempt – emotions that must be running through all Plaid Cymru supporters this doleful weekend.

So what went horribly wrong?

  • Did Plaid try to out-labour Labour? Thereby causing people to vote for the real thing?
  • Did the Labour scare tactic about Plaid forcing people to ‘learn Welsh’ (or else) work?
  • Was the Plaid refusal to rule out collaboration with the Tories a factor?
  • Was the Nationalist stance not strong enough? After all it worked for the SNP.
  • Is the Plaid leadership not charismatic or dynamic enough?
  • Were the choices of individual candidates mistaken? Ron Davies (duh?)
  • Did Plaid choose to emphasise the wrong bits of their manifesto? There were some good bits that nobody ever realised were there.
  • Did Plaid not realise that  super online activity is no substitute for on the ground canvassing or TV appearances?
  • How could the Plaid vote haemorrhage so badly in Llanelli and even down in a heartland like Carmarthen East and Dinefwr?
  • Why couldn’t Carmarthen West and Pembs be taken easily against very weak Tory opposition?

There is something fundamentally wrong that has been exposed by the electorate in this election. To say that Plaid ‘exhausted itself ‘ in the battle for ‘more Assembly powers’  is just plain pathetic. The winning of that battle should have energised the Party and given it more self belief and confidence not the contrary.

I wish I could be more positive and upbeat and that Plaid will make that  ‘come back’ which Helen Mary Jones (ex-AM) has so optimistically declared. Personally, I just don’t see it and it is with the greatest regret that I see my vote, and the Cambria Politico endorsement as having been wasted. I foresee many years in the wilderness.

NoGoodBoyo has the right idea … we should listen to him!

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On the whole and in comparison with most other nations, Wales has very good politicians. With few exceptions they are hard-working, intelligent, dedicated competitive and ambitious men and women. There is no good reason to class them alongside the crooks and spivs of society or to denigrate their work.

The failures of policy and government is mostly failures of society rather than attempts by political parties to improve life, implement their policies or redress wrongs. For example, WAG has been blamed for the poor performance of Wales (compared to England)  in health, education and the economy, but in my view, this is mainly the fault of  poor doctors, poor teachers and useless business people. To blame the politicians for teachers who can’t or are too politically correct and frightened to teach is wrong. To blame politicians for a health service that people are afraid to use and spends too much time diagnosing rather than treating is wrong. To blame politicians for a poor economy is to misunderstand the nature of Welsh demographics, its industrial history and the business markets..

That said, on May 5th, a choice must be made as to which pack of politicians should occupy the Assembly buildings in Cardiff Bay to ostensibly ‘represent’ our views. In spite of an inclination to usually vote for personalities (that I like or have empathy with), it is probably best to first read through the various policy manifestos that have been published and to make a voting preference based on these. The manifestos have been analysed and discussed in detail by much more competent commentators than me so, for more detailed, less biased and more intelligent analysis, I refer the reader to Wales Home, Click on Wales or Syniadau.

In summary, my thoughts prior to the election are as follows:

Labour’s main thrust of the campaign is to (somehow) ‘ protect people from Tory cuts’. This basically means protect the public sector from cuts (which they would have made anyway). There is little else of substance and nothing new or radical in their programme. ie. More of the same.

The Lib Dems have been squeezed by being tarred with a Tory brush and have found it impossible to find a distinctive voice. It is a pity that they haven’t made more of their main attractive policy of raising the income tax threshold (a real vote winner). Of course, they seem to have pissed off the students which is probably not a good thing to do since this is where ‘political activism’ stems from.

The Conservatives are on the march again in Wales (because of the change to an older more ‘English’ rural demographic, rapid shrinkage of Labour industrial heart lands, and growth of urban areas) but are still let down by relatively weak candidates, a non-local perception (Cheryl Gillan, duh?) and completely bizarre, inappropriate focus on ‘entrepreneurship’ and PFI as a way out of economic stagnation.

Plaid Cymru have made the most of a relatively weak hand dealt them under the One Wales agreement so they go into the election on about par with last time. The manifesto is the best written of all the parties and actually contains one or two nuggets of interest amongst the usual socialistic platitudes – such as a plan to use credit unions as a way of localising financing mechanisms. Their media and online activity is streets ahead of the other parties and this is an attraction in itself to anoraks such as myself although probably ineffective at getting more votes from the general populace.

Therefore, on the merits of the manifesto, and just plain personal preference, Plaid Cymru gets the vote.

The ‘Bellwhether’ race of this election is Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire where only a handful of votes separate the parties in contention. The candidates themselves, Angela Burns (Con), Christine Gwyther (Lab), Selwyn Runnett (LibDem) and Nerys Evans (PC) seems to embody and epitomise everything about their respective parties. It will be fascinating to see how it turns out – it is too close to call at the moment.  I can say, however, that if Plaid lose this it will be much more of a disaster than for the other Parties because it is a ‘must win’ seat if Plaid is to have any kind of a  future in mainstream Welsh politics.

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THERE will be “no excuses” for the Assembly Government after May’s election now that the Assembly has full lawmaking powers, Plaid Cymru leader Ieuan Wyn Jones told delegates at his party’s spring conference in Cardiff.

The Deputy First Minister maintained that Plaid would change the “culture of excuses” and that the next Assembly Government would have to take the initiative and take responsibility.

I wasn’t aware that they had been making excuses. Excuses for what? Failure of the economic policy? Failure of the educational policy? Failure to cull badgers?  Public sector cuts?

My overall impression of the Friday at the conference was that it was a pretty low key affair. There was no ‘buzz’ – it was pretty boring. Even the applause of IWJ’s rather good and well delivered speech seemed polite rather than overly enthusiastic.

Just writing this is making me yawn so if any of our readers are really interested they should visit the Plaid websites. They even have somebody tweeting busily on an iPad at #plaidcymru ! Cool or what!?

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Cambria Books

New publication.
Important contribution to our knowledge of the Arab Spring by Denis Campbell.

Cambria Books

New publication. Entertaining guide to the US Elections by Denis Campbell.
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