Leanne Wood AM

Leanne Wood has been elected Leader of Plaid Cymru

Leanne Wood is a serious politician with many accomplishments and we congratulate her on her election.

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Cambria CrewMy thoughts for the last few weeks have been dominated by the news that we were not successful in our bid for continued support under the Periodical Franchise Grant via the Welsh Books Council.
For the last six years we have been recipients of a small grant under this scheme, it was not enough to make a significant difference overall to Cambria but it did enable us to pay (some, those directly concerned with book sales or literature) contributors. From an editorial point of view it gave the power of commission, and very importantly, in the current climate in which the possibility of payment for writers is narrowing, anything that broadens that range is to be welcomed.
We have, for years, contested the parameters of the grant; it does not present a level playing field for applicants. In its current set up the only way to achieve success is to go head to head with one of the current recipients. The panel, made up of some of our leading academics and intellectuals has little practical experience in the business of editing and publishing aimed at a wider audience. I believe that the return we gave on this investment, under the guidance of Meic Stephens, was outstandingly good value, not only in terms of space given over to books but wider readership. Their letter of notification however, was not all bad news:
‘The Panel listened to your comments about the remit of the grants and considers that the time is ripe for a review of the financial provision for English-language magazines in Wales. An independent panel will be appointed to undertake this review in 2012/13. This will be an opportunity for you to discuss various aspects of magazine publishing and contribute to discussion that will help to shape funding policy in the future. One aspect that will be considered is whether the remit of the grant ought to be broadened in order to fund a greater variety of material.’
The literary section will change but Meic Stephens will carry on with his overview of the publishing industry.
Looking back over the last few years, especially now when St. David’s Day is so recent, what has Cambria contributed to the Wales of today? The Parade in Cardiff was given birth in the offices here. Henry Jones-Davies and Tony Lewis re-created the royal standard of Owain Glyndwr in celebration of the 600th anniversary of his rising, we had 500 made, and it flew in remembrance of 1400 at our stand at the Llanelli Eisteddfod. Within three or four years they had become commonplace.

Articles from Cambria have inspired painters, sculptors, television programmes and writers. Between the light commentary and beautiful photographs there have been some hard hitting articles and discussions of topics some would prefer to see swept under the carpet. It is a celebration of Welsh life and culture, past, present and future and hopefully, sometimes, just a little uncomfortable.
Ymlaen!

Frances Jones-Davies – Editor

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Cambria Crew

Emulation is a form of admiration.
In times past we looked to Ireland for inspiration and example, recently Scotland seems to have taken over that role.
Looking at her Sion Jobbins discusses in this issue what it is that makes for a feeling of national identity. The definition may be elusive but the feeling is tangible: in Scotland (again a couple of weeks ago), on a quick visit to Lidl I was impressed by their signage: LIDL working for Scotland, or something along those lines. I am not aware of seeing such support for national pride emblazoned with such well intentioned fervour on signage here.
I am inclined to blame the Council or the Assembly rather than the Company, it is not only Lidl, look at any High Street shop in Scotland from Greggs the bakers to Clinton the card company, they all promote ‘Scottishness’. Wherever you are in Scotland you are never in any doubt but that that is where you are. And so it should be here. We are lucky that geography, history and determination have conspired to keep our language alive but so much more can be done.
For a start, there is much talk of improving the access to Cardiff Airport, owned by Spanish companies, with any improvement should be attached provisos to remember,and remind, that passengers are entering Wales. More local understanding and greater collusion with indigenous business and culture will increase use of the airport.
A few years ago I went to the Tourist Board Awards evening, it was a fabulous evening. A showcase of Welsh talent providing entertainment that could have been served up in London, New York, Miami, Chicago but had absolutely nothing to do with Wales. Philip Evans welcomed representatives of some 90 countries and then told us that now Cardiff has the Wales Millennium Centre we no longer need to go to the West End because it can come to us. I thought sadly of the fantastic group of clog dancers I had seen that year at the Urdd Eisteddfod, of wonderful harpists. Vive la difference is a motto we should embrace. With globalisation comes a certain amount of homogenisation, it is the differences that are touristic gold dust.
2011 did not start well. It had some terrible lows but they have been far outweighed by the support and faith you have shown in Cambria. 2012 is looking brighter and we have great plans. From time to time people voice a concern that we might run out of subject matter, quite the contrary, thanks to the ideas and articles many of you send in. Several new contributors have joined us recently; some of them will become regulars.
A very happy 2012 to you all: advertisers, readers and contributors, and thank you especially for all your good wishes and help of the past year.

Nadolig Llawen a Blwyddyn Newydd Dda

Frances Jones-Davies, Editor Cambria Magazine

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Open Letter to Cadw:
Re: your exhibition about the cartoon Princes of Gwynedd, located in a public lavatory just off the A55

Cadw down the toiletHow is it possible for an organisation charged with the preservation of a nation’s heritage to then treat it with such disrespect? As a patriotic Welshman with a developed interest in my nation’s history and culture, I am revolted and the frankly bizarre decision to place an exhibition about the Princes of Gwynedd in …. a public lavatory! You have made our history, culture and indeed our nation itself into a laughing stock throughout the world. Browse the Internet and discover how people are reacting!
Your decision at Abergwyngregyn (to use the post-conquest name) is incomprehensible – at the least level as a waste of public money – and has made me deeply ashamed and angry. Please consider my long-standing life membership of your organisation void and terminated.
I hope one day soon that those responsible for this tasteless travesty and poorly produced vulgar farce will be made publicly accountable. Your badly produced, childish and ill-sited garbled cartoons have insulted Welsh people everywhere and devalued a proud heritage.

Cadw ToiletYours with complete disrespect, Dafydd Bullock, Gorsedd y Beirdd

Photos: Kathryn Gibson

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plaidc3

In little more than six months’ time, the May local elections will tell us whether Plaid Cymru has slid below the current lowly rankings of the Liberal Democrats – or will once again be aspiring to occupy the first division of Welsh politics.

In the wake of disastrous Assembly election results (which, we must recall, saw Plaid retreating almost everywhere and ceding the position of official opposition to the Tories) the signs are certainly not too good. Indeed, the Tories are on such a high at present that they are convinced they will come second to Labour in terms of council seats held. And belief can be more important than the truth – in particular among the party volunteers who do most of the local authority foot-slogging.

Andrew RT Davies, the Tories’ Assembly leader, talks proudly of controlling the same number of councils as Labour (two out of 22). But in reality, that tells us only how far Labour has sunk – no doubt to rise again under the leadership of Carwyn Jones.

The truth is, out of 1,263 seats, Plaid currently holds 207, Labour 351, the Tories 172; and the ‘Independents’ and others, 378. Of the parties, Plaid controls Caerffili and Gwynedd, and the Tories run Monmouth and Vale of Glamorgan. Admittedly, working out who else runs or controls our other authorities then becomes difficult. Certainly Labour remain top-dog, with an absolute majority on Rhondda Cynon Tâf and Neath Port Talbot; while Bridgend and Torfaen are run with the benefi t of a few ‘winks-and-nods’ from other parties, particularly in the case of Plaid in Torfaen.

Tory leader Andrew Davies is very cautious about making a forecast for May. After all, it was Margaret Thatcher who boasted (after her party’ gains in 1983) that she would, next time, field an entire rugby team of Welsh MPs. “Next time”, of course, saw her party start on its slide into near oblivion within Wales.

For Plaid, this year’s council by-elections added to May’s Assembly disaster, with the party vote down 3% to only 19%, while the Tories rose 3% to 25%, thus indicating that yet another potential disaster beckons next Spring..

In May, Plaid lost two seats, one of them (in Uwchaled, Conwy) simply because no candidate was fielded. However, in Gwynedd, the party held one (so it should, in an authority it is supposed to dominate) and gained another from the Lib Dems.

The acceptable news was that all other by-elections were fought – even in Torfaen, where the party risked voting ridicule in an area where the late-lamented Labour ‘backroomer’, John Vaughan Jones once crowed that a Plaid candidate had managed to achieve the lowest-vote ever in a poll.

One of the councils which Plaid considers to be theirs by right – because they are the largest party or group – is Ceredigion. Unfortunately, there have been no by-elections in the county to help us assess their current standings in this bastion of Plaid support. But a warning of a tough fight ahead in this area might be heeded from AM Elin Jones’s experiences last May. Both the Conservatives and Labour gained support, while the Lib Dems (who hold the Parliamentary seat) slipped slightly. But – more to the point for Plaid – Elin’s backing fell 8% per cent to 41%.

The only unalloyed good news was to be found in Carmarthenshire. There Plaid soared brilliantly to gain Llanegwad – is this an augury for winning control of County Hall, where the party is currently the largest?

Unfortunately, some at the top of Plaid too easily believe in the ‘swings-and-roundabouts’ theory: that sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, but it all works out OK in the end. Plaid reckons it won the battle of the Cabinet in the Assembly by forcing Labour to work rather than rest on its laurels, and to deliver policies that are good for Wales rather than purely for Labour. Plaid even forced the government to find the money to activate policies that, under Labour, were heading for delay – such as trains to Ebbw Vale; even though the promised link to Newport remains missing.

If Plaid were in government, the badger cull (aimed at curbing bovine TB in cattle) would already be under way – rather than delayed endlessly, either because Labour lack the experience of standing up and taking a lead, or they are devotedly following the London line. Unfortunately, the Tories seem better prepared for next May. They are certainly giving local government minister Carl Sargeant a hard time of the shambles of a ‘reorganisation’ that the Cabinet is inching towards. Moreover, the Tories are not scared to air their thoughts, yet when Plaid comes up with some positive ideas, it almost keeps the results under wraps. For example, the party conference debated the need for a local government manifesto based on a Valleys jobs-creation programme which would be implemented by Plaid-run councils throughout Wales. But who knows that? There was not a word about it on the party’s website: it is as if Plaid is scared of revealing its bright ideas to anyone else.

It will be a tough fight for Plaid next May. The party will sorely need leadership from the front, to make up for a lack of members on the ground in some regions. Elin Jones argues that Plaid needs a leader who will be “ambitious for Wales”: one who, while mindful of the Welsh-language activists, is also concerned for “the Swansea plumber and the retired couple from Wigan living in Pwllheli”. As she said, the party has indeed “stagnated of late”, yet with nominations for the new leader not opening until nearly Christmas, little time remains for the new leader to raise spirits and enthuse the party into believing that – come May – Plaid is no longer in retreat.

gan Clive Betts

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scotmap

The new Conservative bill on elections passed last year reduces the number of seats overall from 650 to 600.  The breakdown is as follows:

Nation                        Old  seats                                     New seats

England                         533                                                 502

Scotland                         59                                                    52

Wales                              40                                                   30

N. Ireland                     18                                                   16

Total                              650                                               600

I have estimated the effect on the parties if the last (2010) election had had the new boundaries, by simply assigning the percentages of the 2010 vote according to the way the 2010 constituency was split up:

Scotland:  Old                                                New (estd.)

C 1, Lab 41, LD 11, SNP 6                 C 0, Lab 38, LD 8, SNP 6

England:   Old                                                New (estd.)

C 298, Lab 191, LD 43, G 1              C 291, Lab 183, LD 28, G 0

N. Ireland:   Old                                            New

Nationalist 18                                       Nationalist 16

Wales:     Old                                                   New

C 8, Lab 26, LD 3, PC3                      Available Jan. 2012 (see also my article ”The Taffymander” in Cambria).

The most interesting case is Scotland, where the SNP are the only part not to lose.  This recalls my findings in the article “The Taffymander” that would lose less in the new seat distribution for Wales than any other party.  I showed that this was due to the geographical distribution of the Welsh language, which is strong in “promontory”-type constituencies, and also in the neighbouring “mainland” regions.  When seat numbers are reduced, promontory seats have to be expanded, and this can only be done in the direction of the neighbouring mainland, which only brings in more Welsh-language (i.e. Plaid) votes.  The “promontories” involved in Wales are Ynys Mon, the Llyn, and Penfro (which can only expand into Welsh-specaking Arfon. Gwynedd, Ceredigion and Carmarthen).

It looks like the same is true in Scotland, where the “promontory” involved is Aberdeenshire (ignoring the Western Isles, which are given special treatment in the new law).  Since they cannot expand into the North Sea, as the number of seats decreases, the promontory seats expand into a broad arc from Moray Firth to the Tay which is rich in SNP voters, and so the SNP do not lose.

But this leaves one big question unanswered – why are SNP voters so heavily concentrated in the north-east of the country?  In the case of Plaid’s promontory seats, it is because of an underlying social variable – the Welsh-speaking vote.  But what is the social variable underlying the SNP vote in North-East Scotland?  Not language (Gaelic), nor religion (“Wee Free” Presbytreianism, by analogy with Welsh Nonconformity).  Does anybody have any suggestions as to why this sector of Scotland is so strongly Nationalist?  I’d like to hear from you.

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Yes! It must be true. We now advise Dr.  Llwynog on all matters to do with the fight for Welsh Independence and the National Security of Wales. The proof is shown in our business card shown below. We now seek wealthy backers to fund our globetrotting so that we can ‘pop up’  in meetings and bedrooms everywhere.

Advisor to Dr.Liam Fox

By appointment: Political Scrap Book

Interesting note from Wikipedia: The Modern English word “fox” is Old English, and comes from the Proto-Germanic word fukh (hmmm… methinks a Twitter hashtag is being born! #fukh)

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Journalists faced with fast-moving events (such as the riots in England this August) often take snap decisions which, they hope, will properly reflect the events as they unfold. In the case of the BBC, it was briefly criticised for at first describing the rampage in Tottenham as a ‘protest’, based on the fact that the riots stemmed from the death of a 29-year-old man killed by a police bullet.

To its credit, the ‘Beeb’ not only swapped ‘protests’ for ‘riots’, but made a  determined decision to refer to them as happening ‘in London’ then, later ‘England’ or ‘English’ cities – for two reasons: 1) the riots were not happening in Wales, Scotland or Northern Ireland, and 2) it was felt that constant references to ‘Britain’ or ‘British cities’ might – if only by implication – encourage copy-cat disturbances in those three countries.

On this basis, it seemed perfectly reasonable to assume that The Western Mail (as Wales’ national paper) would have approached the events in a similarily objective manner – as might be the case (for example) if riots had broken out just over the water in Northern France or Dublin. But unfortunately no, and largely thanks to an outburst by Professor Dave Adamson of the University of Glamorgan and chief executive of the Merthyr Tydfil-based Centre for Regeneration Excellence in Wales (Crew).

Writing on the Bevan Foundation website, he announced: “If Wales has escaped the scale of problems experienced in England it is only a temporary reprieve,  deriving more from the dispersed nature of the Welsh urban population than by any immunity to these anti-social behaviours.”

Whereupon The Western Mail took up his case with gusto. In an editorial comment on August 17th headed: ‘Powder keg conditions exist on this side of the Severn crossing,’ the paper boldly assured its readers: “Prof Adamson is not a pundit in an ivory tower…. With the passion of a prophet he describes the wild differences in wealth in modern Britain as symptoms of a society which has lost its ’moral direction’”.

Moreover, the paper told its readers: “It is rare for professors to use exclamation marks …. But when examining whether Wales is blighted by the same challenges as England, he [Prof Adamson] states: ‘The clear answer is yes!’”

This is totally nonsensical: the rare use of an exclamation mark by an academic does not by any means make his views all the more profound – the more so in light of Prof Adamson’s declaration that the scale of the socio-economic challenge in Wales “matches that of the banking crisis” and could result in us seeing “Welsh streets burning”. I beg his pardon: the banking crisis did not lead to the deaths of individuals trying to protect their property, the wanton destruction of buildings and the wholesale looting of shops. The banking crisis did not place an enormous operational, financial and political burden on our police forces, lead to families being left homeless and our gaols overflowing.

But let’s not be too pernickety: Denied the chance to report on riots in Wales, it was thanks to Prof Adamson that The Western Mail was at least able to jump on the riot bandwagon – to the extent of producing a lurid front page on August 17th featuring a white-clad black youth in a hoodie walking past a burning building, and complete with the strap line “Academic’s damning verdict on why Wales’ escape from the riots which swept across England is just a ‘temporary reprive’”.

But there is more to this. In watching the news unfold, the outbreaks of rioting as they occured in Birmingham and elsewhere appeared less random than was first apparent. After all, why not in Leicester, Luton, Bristol or Newcastle-upon-Tyne? In fact, people have already been jailed for inciting violence which never happened. This suggests to me, therefore, that some fairly strong, personal connections existed among those who used social networking media to promote their ‘’cause’ beyond London’s bounds: relationships forged via family, upbringing, business or (even) gangland connections, which effectively left those who failed tried and failed ‘out of the loop’.

So it was reassuring to read the comments of John Osmond, the director of the Institute of Welsh Affairs, who argued (on the Institute’s website) that: “Wales is altogether on a different scale to England. It is not just a question of population size but the urban experience as well. Cardiff has a population of just less than 350,000…… [and} although most Welsh people now live in an urban milieu, the background culture of Welsh society is more rural and close-knit village-style communities than the cityscapes that characterise the bulk of the English experience.

“And significantly, the wealth and income gap between the least and most well off is much smaller in Wales than most of England, and certainly that found in London and the south-east”.

But it is here that John Osmond gets to the nub of the matter: “Related to this background economic reality is what I would argue is the dominant ideological outlook that characterises Welsh politics and to a great extent shared across the parties – even these days some in the Welsh Conservatives – and that is social democracy.”

 He then quoted the English historian Tony Judt, who argues that, like most liberals, social democrats favor progressive taxation in order to pay for public services and other social goods that individuals cannot provide for themselves; but whereas many liberals might see such taxation or public provision as a necessary evil, a social democratic vision of the good society entails from the outset a greater role for the state and the public sector.”

Osmond continued:: “In the Welsh political context this passes for mainstream thinking. Can the same be said for the English? It does not seem so. Thatcherism, followed by the years of Tony Blair, extolled different virtues, of competition and individual opportunity and took its eye off the importance of the public realm.”

To be fair, Osmond’s comments were published by The Western Mail – but with significantly less prominence than was acorded to Prof Adamson: yet Osmond  provided us with an an insight into Wales’ socio-political personality which The Western Mail would be well advised to consider in some depth. The riots in England should not have been seen as an excuse to jump on a shock-horror bandwagon, but an opportunity to demonstrate that Wales does have its own very distinct set of cultural, social and – above all – political values which are are distinct from those pertaining in English cities. Thank you, the BBC, for recognising and respecting this.

gan Jeremy Fonge

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Cambria Books

New publication.
Important contribution to our knowledge of the Arab Spring by Denis Campbell.

Cambria Books

New publication. Entertaining guide to the US Elections by Denis Campbell.
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