Peter Black, one of the policy-wonks so often at the back of Liberal Democrat moves, is busily proving that the Welsh government has no clothes.

To blame is former education minister Jane Davidson, although by now we can shout our complaints at her successor, Jane Hutt.

Mr Black is about to propose that every local authority should be compelled to provide a youth service in its area.

Several decades ago, it seems that providing a youth service was part of the town hall’s job. But as this was hardly a vote-grabbing issue at elections, the service got gradually whittled away in most areas.

Mr Black has been inspired by the KPC (short for Kenfig, Pyle and Cornelly) Project in Bridgend which provides a wide variety of facilities which local youngsters love. Now, having won yet another ballot to propose a Legislative Competence Order, he is to propose that every council must provide a youth service, with suitable plans having to be approved by Cardiff.

It sounds excellent. Should do at least something to curb youth crime and yobbishness.

Except that we’ve been here before. In 2001 the Welsh Assembly voted that a new statutory entitlement be created for youth support services. This would involve the appointment of 3,000 new youth workers. A think tank would be set up to decide where to go.

And where has the Assembly gone ? Precisely nowhere. Ministers and civil servants have parked the entire issue on the highest shelf they could find in Cathays Park and forgotten all about it.

It should be interesting to hear what Ms Hutt has to say when replying to Mr Black. Perhaps she will say his ideas are the best thing since sliced bread. And then appoint him as a one-man think tank !

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It seems insane that WAG is doing everything it can to piss off Welsh business at a time of economic and political meltdown . Nevertheless , as Dylan Jones-Evans is highlighting below, this appears to be happening.

At a time when the small firm sector in Wales needed support, the Assembly Government has come up short yet again.Conveniently waiting until after the council elections, the Local Government Minister announced plans to make only minor changes to the business rate relief scheme in Wales, changes that would make no real difference to the majority of small firms struggling in a difficult business environment.
Source:DYLAN JONES-EVANS: Broken promises

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There’s something to be said for politicians being honest about the promises they will deliver when they get elected.

Plaid’s loss of control of Gwynedd County Council – over the closure of some of the primary schools with which the county is over-provisioned for the number of children born – may soon link up with another issue with which Plaid Cymru has historically been associated.

That is the Welsh language – and in particular the election promise which everyone understood would lead to the launch of a daily newspaper in that language. The issue of the schools and Y Byd (the putative name of the paper, which pushed the issue into the political limelight) are not really linked; but they are close enough to raise issues about the honesty of politicians.

We can leave the schools issue to Gwynedd’s newly-elected councillors and talks between Plaid (minus their group leader Richard Parry Hughes and councillor-cum-national president Dafydd Iwan) and Llais Gwynedd, odds-and-sods Independents, Labour and the Lib Labs. I am pretty sure the issue is not as clear cut as a quick glance at the election results would seem to indicate.

But the issue of Y Byd (shorthand for a daily paper, whoever starts it) is likely to run and run. Not in the public bar, perhaps, but in the more important bar of public opinion.

When I wrote in the last Cambria, I used the information to hand at the time. Some of that ‘gen was not quite correct. The small-sized extra grant for publications had been decided long enough ago for it to have been inserted in the budget – at £200,000-a-year, one third of that necessary.

On the face of it, Labour objectors were not to blame for the small figure. The not-insubstantial figure of Huw Lewis (Merthyr and Rhymney AM) would not have objected too much to even £1m (although he possessed doubts on other grounds).

Early in the autumn, senior Plaid figures discussed and agreed a civil service paper on the suitably-vague issue of Welsh-language publications mentioning the £200,000 figure.

I don’t know why the figure was so small (did Labour somehow force it that low ?). Neither why Plaid accepted the figure (were the individuals in that meeting unaware of how much was really needed ?).

Perhaps I will write more in the next Cambria.

My feeling that the issue will run comes from the editorial in the two-monthly magazine Planet. Some will say that Ned Thomas, the leader of the Byd, had too much influence in that leader (he was Planet’s founder).

But the editorial’s careful wording fits far too much with some ugly anti-comments on the Byd project by two party leaders at Plaid’s spring conference in Newport to be allowed to pass.

Planet talks of “enmities within parties”. The editor also ridicules Adam Price, MP, one of Plaid’s most sensible voices, for his over-espousal of the internet. Newspapers, some more than others (the Llandudno Daily Post is apparently doing pretty well) are suffering circulation-wise. Some web-nuts believe the last edition of a United States daily will on current trends be published in 2044 (unfortunately, I’m unlikely to be around to have the last laugh).

More important is whether politicians’ promises are to be believed. As I wrote last month, I don’t think this would have happened if Plaid had joined the rainbow coalition…

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Alison Halford always seemed a wee bit different from her colleagues when she sat as an AM in Cardiff. Her years as assistant chief constable for Merseyside gave her an outlook on her fellow man which was a trifle broader than most of us ever attained.

Although she sat for Labour, she was fiercely independent; independent enough, indeed, to eventually end up as a Tory.

Now she’s almost sure to come back into the news – although in a rather lower key than she attained in the capital. Ms Halford is standing for Flintshire county council, and she has a very good chance of winning in Ewloe. It’s not only that the Tories already hold one of the two seats in the ward. There’s also the fact that Ms Halford is very well known in the ward … she used to be its Labour councillor.

Of course, all parties are keen to talk – although without too much detail – of how they expect to make gains. Some parties are bouncier than others. Just about hitting the ceiling is Nick Bourne.

His party has put some Cabinet manpower into several local authorities. In the North, top target is listed as Conwy. But I feel they may be putting their hopes too high here – the rural/urban split in these northern areas can cause chaos with political party hopes. All credit to them, though, for having done such a solid job of demolishing what was once a Lib Dem stronghold.

Which leads me to wonder how well the Lib Dems are really doing. When asked whether Labour voters were switching straight to the Tories in the current local election campaign rather than stopping in so-far usual half-way house offered by the Liberal Democrats, Lib Dem leader Mike German did his best to answer another question in his briefing this week.

Mr German added, “We will gain seats around Wales; I will not predict how many or the outcome. Labour’s vote is very weak. They could lose a number of councils.”

He added, “Some Labour will not vote at all; others will vote for the party which locally is closest. There will therefore be a fairly mixed picture across Wales.” So, perhaps we can expect Lib Dem advances mainly restricted to the areas where the Tories are weak – chiefly, the Valleys and the cities.

Plaid are keeping mum. Minister Elin Jones was willing to circulate some top-party talk – Ceredigion could fall; Plaid’s opponents in Gwynedd “are not as strong as people are saying they are”, and Caerffili “looks interesting”.

Control of Caerffili would be a fantastic boost; the party has high hopes of regaining control, probably through an alliance with Independents. Plaid’s hopes are boosted by the weakness of both Tories and Lib Dems over most of the county borough.

Mind, many journalists would say it is dangerous to speculate on election results so close to a poll – it’s so easy to be proved wrong !

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It’s good to know that the Assembly government is putting both its name and its money behind good beer.

No surprise after Rhodri Morgan’s address to the CAMRA UK annual general meeting in Cardiff this month.

But which ministry is putting cash into the Great Welsh Beer and Cider Festival at its new venue of the CRI, Cardiff on June 12 -14 (Thursday to Saturday) ? Economic development, tourism or even health.

Some CAMRA speakers had gone as far as to suggest that real ale is a solution to binge-drinking, on the grounds that CAMRA members never binge-drink, and beer in moderation is good for health !

Judging by civil servants’ inability to answer which ministry is paying, there must by a little face-saving involved. Maybe it’s health. Judging by the number of G and Ts that surgeons are said to knock back, a bit of alcohol would seem to do you good !

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It’s difficult to know what Lord Elis-Thomas, defender of the Assembly and former university lecturer in modern Welsh literature, really made of this week’s row over the Senedd sex scene which a Llanelli TV company won “permission” to film in Lord Rogers’s new building.

It was supposed to be a scene of dialogue. You can imagine the script – “Give me it again,” and [censored].

Tonight’s episode of Caerdydd was almost as bad – actor makes as if he expects a kiss (and more?), and woman replies, “I haven’t got the time.”

Sorry about the English, but the sub-titles appear even before the words are mouthed in Welsh, so the first (?) language gets precedence in this piece.

It wasn’t clear where tonight’s scene was filmed. A buxom young secretary alleviates her boredom by, first kissing the screen on a photostat machine while her elderly and boring boss ignores her in the background, and then more daringly hitches up her jumper and copies her boobs onto the machine.

One only hopes she hit the A3 rather than the A4 button. Even better if she had used one of the A0 machines owned only by the National Library and a few architects and builders’ practices

The story got into The Independent – even though they should have asked their (non-existent stringer, or even PA, whose reporter works next-door to me and is a Welsh-speaker) how to spell National Assembly in Welsh). In this top-turvy news world we experience today, I suppose that is a big Assembly success.

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Nick Bourne is haring off leftwards so fast that it won’t be long before the Welsh Tory party stands to the left of Labour.

He kicked off his weekly briefing by advocating a £100 discount on their council tax bills for all pensioners. What about the millionaires ? For everyone, he replied; the matter’s too urgent.

Mr Bourne then slated the government’s removal of the 10p tax band: “Those at the bottom of the pile should be given help rather than those at the top,” he said.

Those two points followed his suggestion for what seemed suspiciously like a raising of the age for driving: insisting that youngsters below the age of 20 would not be allowed to carry passengers (as being considered in Belfast) is only one step away from making that the age for holding a licence.

Currently, power over driving licenses is held by London, so that would mean a transfer of functions Order.

And then there’s the issue of proportional representation using the preferred single transferable vote system, another issue being raised in the Assembly this week. Mr Bourne made plain his support at the local government level “from self-interest” and because, in a five-party world (with Independents), it is the only way of halting Labour domination.

Jonathan Morgan (Cardiff North) was sitting quietly in the back listening – one can hardly imagine him objecting to that sort of political agenda.

So which Tory AMs are possible objectors ? The Welsh party is changing so rapidly that I can imagine only three of the 12, and then we have to go back of political attitudes that they may have forgotten by now – Alun Cairns (South Central), William Graham (South East), and Darren Millar (Clwyd West).

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Tory Glyn Davies, a fully paid-up member of the land-owning classes – he owns a stretch of Montgomeryshire – spoke of the “tide of history” which is forcing electoral reform to the forefront of the electoral agenda in Wales.

The former AM for Mid and West was one of the party speakers at the official launch of the Wales office of the Electoral Reform Society in Cardiff – although he admitted he wasn’t sure how many of his party colleagues were line up behind him. Apart perhaps from those with knives in their hands.

With none of the new democracies in eastern Europe having signed up to first-past-the-post, Helen Mary Jones, Plaid’s Llanelli AM reminded the launch how out-of-date is FPTP – “It was radical in 1870,” she said.

The ERS is very much a fan of Single Transferable Vote –where almost every vote counts, allocating a ward’s or constituency’s five typical members accordingly. It has no time at all for Peter Hain’s favoured Alternative (sometimes called Supplementary) Vote system, which is NOT proportional; AV merely re-assigns the third candidate’s votes, which can give an overall result even less proportionate than FPTP.

Perhaps it is a sign of how Welsh politics is changing in that head of the society’s Wales office is Annabelle Harle – who has run First Minister Rhodri Morgan’s constituency office in the Assembly almost since the beginning. Rhodri wasn’t present, but his wife Julie, Cardiff North’s MP until the next election, was. Mrs Morgan was coy about which version of PR she favoured – although several years ago her husband seemed quite in favour of STV, arguing that the main reason against it was that constituents “might not understand it”. STV has of course been Ireland’s system since the Government of Ireland Act passed by Westminster in 1914.

Formal speaker for Labour at the launch was party radical and deputy minister John Griffiths (AM for Newport East). Perhaps out of misplaced loyalty to the party’s London centre, John was also coy about naming the version of PR that he favoured. Hovering on the margin was an assistant who may (or may not) have been sent along by another radical, minister Edwina Hart.

The society is launching a three-plus person office for Wales in view of the radically changing political situation here. Firstly, there is the Commission (the second, after the very similar Richard Commission of 2004) looking into how the Assembly can be turned into a properly-functioning body. The likelihood is that extra members will be elected. Then, there is the possibility (temporarily passed ?) of a non-Labour governing coalition which will push through councils PR. And then the increasing chance that Welsh local government will follow Scotland, where STV elections last time have radically repainted the landscape.

Gradually the unthinking and unmoving FPTP troglodytes of Westminster are being surrounded by democrats. All four Assemblies use a version, plus the councils in both Ulster and Scotland. My own ward has four seats – all will almost certainly go Plaid. Does that mean NO-ONE on the large council estates of Penyrheol or Trecenydd votes Labour ?

As Jennie Randerson (Cardiff North Lib Dem AM) said, “All of the 22 councillors in my constituency are LD; I still support STV, even though my party will lose out badly, because we believe in the principle of the issue.”

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New publication. Important contribution to our knowledge of the Arab Spring by Denis Campbell.
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