Forget thoughts of depriving Nick Bourne of his leadership of the Tories, at least this side of the Assembly election in 2011.

The AM for Mid and West is on a roll – all thanks to London Prime Minister Gordon Brown and the series of gaffes and problems that have been visited upon him.

Peace has descended on the Tory ranks in the Assembly, despite ambitions bubbling away slowly in the background – particularly from Jonathan Morgan (South Central) and Darran Millar (Clwyd West).

But, when the party’s going upwards rapidly, there is little point in wrecking the brew by stirring too vigorously.

Speaking to the press, Mr Bourne was blunt that expectations  in the next Commons election – surely in 2010 – are no longer limited to Vale of Glamorgan (which will remove Alun Cairns from Cardiff Bay) and Cardiff North (which will remove Jonathan Evans from Brussels).

Mr Bourne said he was thinking in “double digit” terms, to embrace seats never before thought of as Tory, as well as those not held by the party for many years.

The importance of 2011 to a leadership election is that a poll at that time will bring a number of new faces into the Assembly. The change-over in faces is larger than experienced in the Commons where their first-past-the-post election system results generally in an as-you-were result.

If Mr Bourne fails to become First Minister (he is definitely in the running), all bets are off.

But if he manages to take over the big office on the fifth floor of the building currently occupied by Rhodri Morgan – where I am now working, any change in the Tory group leadership would, of course, be totally unthinkable.

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To some, Tory AM Darren Millar is assuredly a right-winger – mainly because of his links to Christian groups. You know, a sort of Welsh version of an an American Christian republican.

Leaving that point entirely aside, what about the views of the North member on  devolution ?

His linking with Preseli AM Paul Davies in the row over a replacement chairman to South East AM William Graham for the Tory Assembly group, however, put a different light on such thoughts.

Mr Davies is definitely One Nation – a Tory grouping which still encompasses some members of the party despite the demise of Edward Heath.

Indeed, Mr Millar has been described by a trusted informant as a “federalist ” – something akin to David Melding, the South Central AM and party policy director, as well as bete noire to right-wingers.

Asked about his “federalism”, Mr Millar yesterday demurred.  But he agreed that he “did not like” the devolved assemblies within the UK all working to different rules – Scotland has the greatest powers, followed by Stormont, with Wales some way behind, followed by London (which isn’t a country, in any case).

Really, Mr Millar’s stance probably cannot be differentiated from federalism – but that is one of the words that a rising Tory can never associate himself with.

The Northern member points out, additionally, that devolution should not halt at Cardiff Bay. He claims – and there is evidence to back up his argument – that Cardiff is indeed more centralist than London.

Mr Millar points to the “guidance” that is sent by the respective governments to local authorities. Cardiff is significantly more prescriptive and demanding than is Whitehall, he says. Planning, he points to, as a clear argument.

It is all a reflection of the Labour pressure to force conformity, and to ensure there is only one centre of leadership, and that from floor five in Ty Hywel.

One obvious example is the way the Wales Tourist Board has been totally subsumed within the Assembly’s civil service. And the other is the way health minister Edwina Hart is gathering every iota of power to herself.

As Tory health spokesman Jonathan Morgan remarked at the Tories’ North policy forum conference in Llandudno, Mrs Hart had embarked on a “very dangerous exercise”.

She had “gone from one extreme to the other – from 22 Local Health Boards to one state-controlled governing body, bordering on old-Soviet style command and control”.

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