Just as the Climate Change debate is over whether Global Warming is man made or part of a natural cycle, so the political conversation is about whether we are in control over our politics or is it being shaped by global forces of change. God, Man or Chaos Theory.

Political dogma is fragmenting as a consequence of changes in people’s perception of government due to the Media and the Internet. There are no simple questions and answers these days with persuasive and bullying opinion being raised on every conceivable issue. Why is this? Is it because we are in the pre-ordained End of Days as foretold by religions or is it due to changes in our psychology?

Carl Jung, in his explorations of the nature of religion and human psychology, was one of the first to postulate the existence of ‘group minds’ or group (un)consciousnesses. He considered that there were four group psychologies (mindsets) that were roughly geographically based on continents ie. the Western, Eastern, African and possibly Aboriginal. We can now extend this theory to propose a new and different pan geographical and global group consciousness – the Internet. This Internet consciousness has a very loose and undetermined shape at the moment but it has all the classic characteristics of a group mind as explored and prefigured in science and fantasy fiction (cf. Tad Williams). It is a  vast tag cloud of information, music, video clips, imagery, blogs, comment threads and random thoughts difficult to define and wholly unregimented.

Or is it? Just like the oceans, there are patterns and currents to this seemingly vast sea of infojunk. I find it is is sometimes useful to employ artistic analogies/visualisations to help with this concept.  For example, even the UK government’s Dept of Trade and Industry has drawn from the imagination of the graphic artist M.C. Escher to try and get a handle on this in its publications of the role of the Internet in commerce. This new mind is constrained not by geographical and traditional societal boundaries but by access and technology and human psychology  so this is the key to understanding how to use it. The politicians that can understand this fully and utilise it predictively , will be the powerful men and women of the future. Barack Obama and his campaign team exemplifies this new understanding.

These group minds are peculiarly susceptible to music (melody patterns). The Beatles were a music phenomenon which unconsciously gave expression to changes in the (Western) group mind. We find it very difficult to comprehend these days why the Beatles simple lyrics and melodies were so popular but it can be understood if explained in terms of being in tune or resonating with an unconscious mind. at a particular time in its evolution. It’s the vibes Man! Similarly today, it is no accident that music drives a large part of the Internet and is a powerful medium for disseminating music both old and new.

Peer to peer systems, the stock markets, blogging and the social networking phenomenon are manifestations of the new consciousness. These ‘viral channels’ are a kind of nervous system or ocean current and look how fast they react.

Politically, the important questions of today are how do the traditional mind sets of the West interact, use or merge with this new mindset. How does a politician locked into old ways of doing things – knocking on doors, holding surgeries, attending conferences, dealing in smoke filled rooms, troughing in pork barrels approach what is now a new paradigm? The politician of the present now needs to understand how the Internet works, not the techie bits, but the psychology of it. It’s not about issues but about surfing the wave breaks of the group mind  – being in tune with the Internet  and other  group (un)consciousness. In Wales, most of the politicians are ‘old school’, and have little or no understanding of the Internet or its political and marketing tools.  Well, except maybe for  Chris ‘Pants’ Bryant! Some, like Peter Black and Adam Price are starting to use blogging as a means of communicating (mainly to political anoraks) but most only have their staff monitor blogs or news websites for stories that might be attacking them.

The political and economic climate is set to change and change fast. It is clear that none of our current crop of politician either here in Wales or the UK is ‘ahead of the curve’. In the US, Barack Obama is probably the closest. McLuhan was partially right. The Medium is now the Message is now the Mindset.

There will be much Tribulation.

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The online version of the Western Mail finally catches up with the Welsh blogosphere which has been commenting on the issue of the role of the Internet in modern politics for weeks now. Funny that.

Wales urged to get net-savvy after Obama victory
Jun 16 2008 by David Williamson, Western Mail
BARACK Obama’s victory over Hillary Clinton proves the internet is one of a campaign’s most powerful weapons and Welsh politicians ignore it at their peril, it was claimed last night.

Source: Wales urged to get net-savvy after Obama victory – WalesOnline

‘Dead Trees Press’ or what.

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Most Welsh politicians are extinct dinosaurs … they just don’t know it yet. They are the ‘living dead’ in terms of understanding or participating in the online world. Even the most web aware of them such as Adam Price or Peter Black have not taken on board the staggering changes in the way politics will be done in the near future. They just cannot keep up. You hear politicians and county councilors of all ranks and political flavour boasting in private or off the record that they just ‘don’t understand email’ or this ‘Interweb thing’ as if it is something to be proud of and which should be left to ‘techies’ as a menial task not worthy of priority status. Well, if they keep acting and thinking this way they are doomed.
See Andrew Sullivan’s excellent analysis of the Barack Obama phenomenon below.

That’s another staggering benefit of this kind of open-source, web-based operation: the personal drain on a candidate is lessened. He can spend less time at rubber-chicken dinners, fewer soul-sapping hours begging for cash on the phone, less time schmoozing possibly cheesy characters (remember how much trouble Al Gore got into in 2000?) and more time honing speeches, working on policy, engaging the media.

Now I accept that Welsh politics bears no resemblance to US politics but there are lessons to be learned if one accepts that true democracy can only really be achieved when people start to use the tools provided by the Internet (blogs, social networks) to force their political masters to attend to their wishes ie. listen. Isn’t that what Gordon Brown, Rhodri Morgan etal have said they want to do, following their terrible election results? Listen? Well again this is totally the wrong (auditory) sense to use. They shouldn’t listen… nobody is talking any more, people are communicating differently these days (by email, IM, text, blog, social network etc). They should be reading their screens (or more likely the printouts from blogs and webpages).

People will start to evaluate the political candidates of tomorrow by the quality of their websites, their social networking (Facebook) profile and by their blogging ability. Whether this is a good or bad thing is hard to say but it is the shape of a new reality.

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Use of the Internet by Welsh politicians is still in its infancy. However, this is going to change radically as a new generation of politician enters the political arena/bullring. Politicians have been forced to become more web-aware but only because political bloggers goad and pick at them for the entertainment of increasingly savvy Internet users who now get their news and comment online.

The internet has been moving to the mainstream of political life in the US for some years.But in this presidential cycle it has been particularly important for the Obama campaign, which was starting from scratch with few resources and little name recognition.
The internet favours the outsider, and gives them the ability to quickly mobilise supporters and money online.

Political bloggers themselves are also learning the ropes and we will see much more sophisticated blog sites as they evolve and migrate from the ‘freebies’ like the excellent ‘Blogger‘ to sites with more functionality, tools and inevitably monetisation through advertising. Examples of these are the rabid Guido Fawkes and ‘smooth Tory’ Iain Dales’s Diary.

Of course, the newspapers (or ‘Dead Trees Press’) have migrated en masse onto the Internet with varying degree of success. The Guardian, Times and Telegraph (and other papers) have spent millions on their web sites whose busiest elements (in traffic terms) are the blogs of their celebrity columnists. However, this doesn’t disguise the fact that most online people only get their news fixes from The BBC website and their comment from independent bloggers. It is indicative that the ‘blogrolls’ of most bloggers (including this one) rarely include links to the ‘dead tree press’. The reason for this is their increasing irrelevance.

The main argument, best defense and way forward for the ‘dead trees press’ is always going to be Quality. The blogosphere is filled with rubbish. We all know it. Nevertheless, the interactivity and search tools of the Internet make it very easy to locate and ‘bookmark’ sites that provide quality news, comment, political aggravation and entertainment and these will be the ones that generate traffic. If newspaper websites cannot find ‘quality’ commentators that can blog or stimulate an online following then there will be no compelling reason to visit. The Western Mail is an example of this. Readership of the print version is only maintained by WAG advertising of jobs and tenders and by their rugby coverage. Nobody goes to it for online news which they can get more easily (and without ads) from the BBC.

So I predict that political bloggers will become ‘web stars’ and virtual soldiers in the upcoming political battles. The Americans have shown us how to do it. Some will remain independent, some will become affiliated to a newspaper/magazine and some will be vehicles for political lobbying (by the political parties or commercial interest). In fact, war has already been declared and there are casualties everywhere (Peter Hain, Gordon Brown, Tamsin Dunwoody).

Cambria Politico is affiliated to and reflects the ethos, editorial stance and opinions of Cambria magazine. We make no claims to being unbiased, impartial or independent. This is, after all, a blog! We like who we like and we campaign on and support issues that we feel are important to Wales and our readers. We try, (as always) to uphold the best journalistic traditions of truth, accuracy, proper citation and good writing.

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