Jonathan EdwardsThese are certainly exciting times for Plaid Cymru.  A General Election when we expect to win the largest amount of Parliamentary seats in our history; an Autumn or 2011 New Year referendum on full law making powers within devolved competencies; and a Welsh General Election in 2011.     From a personal perspective it’s great to be back full time in active politics at the heart of the national movement; the political equivalent of playing central midfield for the national football team every day of the year!

Over the next 18 months the future of Wales for a generation will be shaped.  In this period, Plaid has the best opportunity in its history of replacing a discredited Labour party as the dominant political force in our country.  It’s an opening we have a duty to grasp.

A new political environment will be shaped following the General Election.  It is highly likely that we are looking at significant Tory victory across the UK.   If tensions between the UK Government and the devolved Administrations have been all too often visible with a Labour Government in Westminster, imagine what it’s going to be like with a Tory Government in London that is at best suspicious of devolved politics.

The Labour party will inevitably implode after their defeat.  In the medium term it has two choices in Wales.  Firstly it grows up and becomes a party that genuinely promotes progressive nationalism – making itself relevant to the new political environment, or it continues along the path to self destruction with its current political malaise due to its own deep splits.

When Labour enjoyed political hegemony over our country it was able to pacify the two warring factions within its ranks by playing the politics of the lowest common denominator.   Opposition parties working within this context had no option but to grit their teeth and bear it.   Unfortunately for Labour, in the space of a few years their hegemonic control over Welsh politics (that lasted the best part of a century) disappeared.  And the trajectory is only going one way.    In the new plural political environment of modern Wales, Labour’s current approach will be ruthlessly exposed – the events within the Government of Wales only last week are a case in point.

In the face of a Tory Westminster Government, the alternative narrative will not be a replacement New Labour London Government – but rather the development of Welsh political democracy and sovereignty.   As someone who has spent the last two years of my life campaigning directly for social justice with the CAB movement, it became evidently clear that Wales doesn’t have power over the real leavers to fully tackle social inequity.   That is why, if elected, my political future will be in Westminster until Wales has control over the benefits system and fiscal autonomy are devolved.  Northern Ireland already has administrative control over the benefits system and even the unionist parties in Scotland are campaigning for fiscal autonomy.  We want Wales to have the same rights as our Celtic cousins – why should we accept less?

There are those in the Labour party who accuse us of navel-gazing over the constitutional question.  What they fail to acknowledge is that political power is the key to driving forward the social justice agenda.  Without the tools to do the job – no craftsman no matter its skill can achieve its task.   Are the unionists in their midst seriously arguing that a Tory Government in London is likely to deliver on the social justice more than a government of progressives in Wales?

The political dynamic of post General Election Wales will therefore be between a Conservative right wing, South-East-of-England-Centric UK Government in conflict with an increasingly Plaid dominated Government of Wales.   If Labour fail to react to this new political dynamic they will become increasingly marginalised.  Peter Hain is only half right – the real political choice is between Plaid and the Tories.

At this stage it’s important to pay tribute to the way in which current Plaid leader Ieuan Wyn Jones, an Amman Valley boy like myself having been born and raised in Garnswllt, is creating the new Wales.  Ieuan knows where the future strategic battles lie.  Apart from his contribution in steering Wales through the recession, his major contribution will be the way that he has paved the way and shaped the future of so many young politicians.

With Wales’ most effective political campaigner in Bethan Jenkins and the party’s Director of Policy Nerys Evans already elected at the Senedd, Ieuan has facilitated the development of the likes of the next Jennie Eirian in Myfanwy Davies , the hugely talented Steffan ‘Next But One’ Lewis, forensic thinker Colin Nosworthy and ultra impressive Heledd Fychan.

Added to this, he has managed to recruit a group of exceptionally gifted young staffers and advisers to drive Plaid’s ambitions.  Having individuals as talented and committed as this team must make other political parties in Wales not only envious but also extremely worried.

A lesser leader would have pinned down the ‘young Turks’ in the party in order to preserve his own position.  His selflessness is creating the new Wales that will shape the future of our nation.

In doing so Ieuan has not only ensured an increasingly impressive team to lead, but has also provided his party with a new generation of politicians ready to lead Wales to justice and prosperity well in to the future.

I am confident that the future is bright – and I’m convinced the future is Plaid.

Jonathan Edwards

Plaid Prospective Candidate, Carmarthen East and Dinefwr

Share
 

The BBC’s Newsnight programme recently commissioned and broadcast a voter survey on attitudes to the various UK party leaders and their policies from the same people that helped guide Barack Obama’s presidential campaign. The methodology and findings were predictable, essentially uncontroversial and hedged with provisos – one of these being that the UK is not the US.  The contention is that Politics in the two countries may be different but people share the same aspirations and attitudes so it is still valid to consider analysis  and research into people’s views derived from professionally run focus groups.

In relation to Welsh politics, it is sometimes argued that Wales is not England and that this justifies a small nation, separate language political agenda such as might be followed by certain sections of Plaid Cymru. However,  it seems to be clear that this will never chime with the majority of Welsh voters and will never lead to significant progress on the road to Independence in the same way as Ireland or even Scotland. This is because  all surveys, focus groups, analyses, invariably point to the same Clintonian mantra – it’s the economy stoopid! (that matters).

The things that people ARE most interested in/concerned about and reflect ‘voter intention’ can be crudely listed as:

  1. Jobs
  2. Family/Community
  3. Health
  4. Cars/Mobility
  5. Housing
  6. Safety/Policing
  7. Sport
  8. Environment
  9. Shopping/Money
  10. Education

The things that do not influence (most) voter intention:

  1. Nationalism
  2. Language
  3. Identity
  4. Culture/Heritage
  5. Politics
  6. Government
  7. Independence
  8. Business
  9. Tourism
  10. Media

Clearly,  it is the business of government to be interested in and deal with the issues that people are not (list 2) and this is their civic responsibility. However, we are not talking about ‘governing’, we are talking about getting elected in the first place with a proper mandate from  electors.  If this is the premise, then Plaid Cymru appears to have the wrong policies, the wrong agenda and the wrong people to lead them to the kind of political significance that the people of Wales deserve.

Independence as a small nation in Europe is a worthy goal/vision that could be achieved but not without addressing fundamental voter concerns and aspirations and these are economic – jobs, business. Plaid Cymru membership appears to be dominated by people from the public sector,  farming or walks of life that have no resonance or meaning in a modern or future economy.

The Party of Wales does not have as its sub text … The Party of (Welsh) Business.

This is what needs to be changed otherwise the economy will not thrive and people’s concerns about jobs and economic aspirations will not be met. As a businessman, I find it very very hard to find reasons/justification to vote Plaid  despite being extremely proud of my country and heritage – this means I end up voting Plaid because of personalities like Adam Price (who has a business background of sorts) and not on issues. Now that Adam Price is leaving, the challenge and plea to Plaid is … give  us clearly spelled out business reasons to vote for you.

Share
 

No wonder Plaid didn’t try to present last week’s cabinet briefing to the press in Cardiff, writes Clive Betts from the National Assembly press gallery.

It’s not so much that Labour had to explain away a disaster, Plaid were faced with the same job. And if you’re in the middle of the shit, Rhodri Morgan is far more capable of explaining he is in fact surrounded with the milk of human kindness than Ieuan Wyn Jones could ever attempt.

Mind you, Wigley would have had a good try of proving that dirty brown is really white …

We haven’t yet had a line on who will give the Cabinet press briefing tomorrow. Who they decide to chose will rest an awful lot on what news release the government plans to make in the next few days. And they don’t tell you that sort of thing beforehand.

Mind you, Plaid did a good job of trying to hide the electoral disaster they had just suffered.  Must be something to do with having a former BBC Wales journalist as special adviser to IWJ.

Thus, we had a story about welcoming back Jill Evans to continue her work as an MEP – without saying anything about what had happened to Eurig Wyn, member until 2004 (he disappeared when the number of Welsh seats fell by one).

Plaid, in fact, had a pretty decent story to tell from Europe. Their vote had gone up, particularly in their target areas.

But brazen talk beforehand of a second seat – in the same way as the Tories had spoken of gaining a seat – had been totally falsified.

Ieuan hadn’t wanted to turn up to face the press and explain the gaping difference with Scotland.

Yet again, Wales had been proved to be an offshoot of England where some people speak a non-Germanic language. I suppose the most obvious difference politically was in UKIP’s ability to win a seat.

Previously, I and some others had scorned them as being too-English. In Scotland, that taunt is still flung. But, up there,  their candidates got their balls frozen; their vote fell; and Strasbourg seats were restricted to members of the main parties.

But it isn’t the fate of UKIP which tells you the temper of the frozen north (in winter, that is). It was the way in which the SNP unequivocally gained the peoples’ vote; nationally, they gained 29% to Labour’s 21, with other parties lagging.

More crucially, the SNP came first in every council area bar four (out of 32) – the party even won Edinburgh, although not Glasgow.

In stark contrast, Plaid was fourth third in Wales with 19%. The big parties were only a point or so ahead. But clearly the Welsh Nationalists have a long way to go to win the support of the people of Wales.

Just look at the Westminster constituencies where Plaid did well. There were only seven in which Plaid came first – Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, Llanelli, Ceredigion, Conwy, Caernarfon, Meirionnydd Nant Conwy, and Anglesey.

All are seats which Plaid already hold at one level or other. There’s then the list of where the party came second (which might mean a long way behind the leader). If Plaid had come first in some of these, we could start dreaming of an independent Wales.

But, really, this is a list of the second-hopers – Blaenau Gwent, Ogmore, Caerffili, Islwyn, Clwyd West, Merthyr, Aberavon, Neath, Carmarthen West, Preseli, Rhondda, Cynon, Pontypridd, and Swansea East.

If you’re a politician who happens to dream a lot at night, Plaid Cymru is a party you would be happy with.

All I can say is that, when Scotland wins its freedom, the Welsh will be the first to scream that they are being diddled by the English. But the truth is that Wales usually lags behind the Scottish leaders. And that has been proved once again.

Share
 

SOME POLITICAL parties treat their would-be voters with contempt, and this has been happily happening in the European elections now completed in the UK, although still ongoing in the rest of Europe, writes Clive Betts from the press gallery at the National Assembly.

If these Euro-politicians’ tricks work, their way will be opened to five years of uninterrupted expenses claiming. And is it necessary to produce a single receipt to either Brussels or Strasbourg ?

In other words, politicians owe a moral debt to those whose votes they are seeking. They must tell us why we should vote for them.

Every political party (and in this election, the closed-lists system means that parties are more important than their candidates) MUST produce the evidence as to why they deserve our vote.

The only way in which each party can make contact with each elector is through the General Post Office, using their right to send a communication to every elector.

According to a list I picked up from the Llandudno (no longer Liverpool) Daily Post, no fewer than ELEVEN parties are standing in Wales.

I live in Caerffili, in a ward long-controlled by Plaid Cymru (which tells you which party should possess a good number of workers locally).

Every afternoon (they don’t deliver early to my street), I have carefully examined the post.

But only ONE party has bothered to send me a communication. That was Rhodri Morgan’s party. In fact, Labour was clever enough to send different messages to me and my wife, so I got a full-as-possible picture of what they stand for.

Nothing from Plaid, despite their reputed strength in the ward. Nothing from the Tories, despite their past appearance in some county borough elections. Not surprised in such circumstances to hear nothing from the Lib Dems; after all, they admitted earlier this week in the Assembly that their previous Euro-election effort five years ago was hardly brilliant.

What about the other parties ? Well, you’ll be glad to know that literature has been seen from the UKIP and from the British National Party. Voters in Radyr, a very post suburb of Cardiff, have been honoured.

Why them and not us ?  Perhaps because Radyr is where the BNP and the UKIP get a lot of their money from ?

On Welsh TV I’ve seen a political broadcast from the Greens (ie the Green Party of England and Wales – although mainly of England because their advert was either not translated, or, if so, was incompetently done).

Not the same Green party as for the Six Counties or for Scotland. Some time ago, there was action towards setting up a separate Welsh party, but Anglo-forces were opposed, since when the party has all but vanished in Wales.

I’ve also seen a Welsh TV broadcast for the Juries.

Their message seemed to be a referendum before anything on state spending is decided -  a standard right-wing trick to make sure that taxes are minimalised for people  who are rich enough to be able to pay for services we currently receive from the state.

If the services are no longer publicly provided, and the poor won’t be able to afford to pay, it will be bad luck for them. But at least my back pocket remains full of lolly.

The other parties seem a waste of time. No2EU seems another version of UKIP; I merely hope their lead candidate is not the same Robert Griffiths who once was a big noise in the Communists (the tanky version).

I’m surprised to see that the Socialist Labour Party is still around; I thought Arthur Scargill spent all his time down a mine digging for coal.

The Christian Party sounds promising. But I suspect that it is a successor of the Christian Democrats of five years ago who ended ingloriously bottom-but-one of the poll with fewer than 6,000 votes and  0.7pc of the poll. Arthur managed 0.6.

Christian Democracy is an honourable part of the political spectrum on the Continent (although you wouldn’t expect many Brits to know that).

From what I’ve heard, our current Christian Party is extremely non-christian. They seem to line up where the Taliban do with Muslims.

If it’s untrue that they would castrate homosexuals, and that they believe the earth had no existence pre- BC 4004, perhaps they would let me know in the press gallery. Only don’t hurl a brick because you might hit the Presiding Officer, who lives next-window but one.

So, who deserved a vote in Caerffili ? Sounds like Rhodri’s lot. Particularly as, that afternoon, Wayne David, the local MP, had been canvassing  with a small group in the town centre.

The Lib Dems have already near-admitted that their campaign this time was only partial. You wouldn’t expect Plaid to make such an admission.

But it’s intriguing that the Tories have failed, too.

Share
 

When the Welsh Lib Dems start likening themselves to the UK Independence Party, you know they are heading for a fall, writes Clive Betts from the Assembly.

The big political fight now reaching its climax is which party will win the fourth European seat in Wales.

Labour, the Tories and Plaid are all certain to be returned with one each in Thursday’s vote. But who will gain the seat being vacated by Eluned Morgan ?  Labour are by now certain to be deprived of their second seat in Wales.

Will the Tories or Plaid be rewarded with a second seat ? Or will the fourth seat go to the Lib Dems, who thought they might have won it four years ago ? Or to UKIP – but that is a party which is regarded as so stockbroker-belt oriented that its support in Wales is pretty miniscule. ?

Peter Black, the highly-regarded AM for South West, is master-minding the Lib Dem attempt by academic Alan Butt Phillip to claim the fourth seat.

When the press quizzed the party on its prospects, Mr Black was careful not to play them up too much. Unfortunately, he seemed to be accepting that really his party doesn’t possess much hope this time around.

He told us, “The fourth party; is it us or UKIP ?”

Which, to me, that means no seat for a fourth party, but rather a second seat for Plaid or the Tories. As the Tories have done little to help themselves (by the MPs’ expenses rumpus; or through ensuring that the first three of their candidates all sport English addresses) – surely it must be a return to Strasbourg for Eurig Wyn after five years away.

The only hope for the Lib Dems is that there is a lot of truth in Assembly leader Kirsty Williams’s claim that “we have a lot more activity on the ground than five years ago”.

The party has been highlighting the Euro-poll for its position in a continuum, possessing a “momentum” which will lead them to successive seat gains in Europe, followed by Westminster and in Cardiff Bay in 2011.

As it’s difficult to see where the Lib Dems will manage to add a seat at Westminster – bearing in mind they are almost certain to lose Ceredigion – never mind in Cardiff Bay, perhaps we should be asking whether there is a future any more for a fourth party in Wales

Share
 

An Open Letter to All Welsh MPs from Rhydian Fôn James

Dear Member of Parliament,

I’m very happy about the Welsh Language LCO, but I can’t quite shake off that feeling of dread that the Welsh Affairs Select Committee, and a handful of anti-Welsh language MPs, will perhaps trip us up. They will certainly try.

Their arguments will fall back on that old chestnut of Wales suffering economically if the LCO passes and the Assembly moves ahead with legislation. Except that this is probably the weakest argument of any that have been made against the proposed legislation.

The point about the economic argument is that it is laughably flimsy – like trying to build the Taj Mahal out of cards, on the moon, whilst using a robotic arm. The argument goes like this: the burden of translating and providing services in Welsh will reduce profits, discourage investment and drive business out of Wales. This is clearly flawed.

Continue reading »

Share
 

By Rhydian Fôn James

This article was inspired by a chat over the garden wall with a neighbour and good friend, leading to his complaint about his council tax bill and a request that I write something about it. Is there any basis to his complaint? Yes, without doubt – and we in Wales must work to ensure a fair and progressive system of local taxation. The difficulty lies in the fact that powers over taxation still lie with Westminster, and not at the Senedd. As we shall see, the battle for devolution of further significant powers to Cardiff is tied up with the battle over council taxes.

Many everyday public services are provided through local governments all over Wales – even ones so simple that we can forget that they are a service, such as driving on a local authority road and taking children to schools, libraries, or leisure centres. Part of these services are funded by local taxation, currently in the form of council tax. Bu this is about to change, in some UK countries at least – in Scotland, the SNP are pressing ahead with plans to discard the council tax system in Scotland. It will be replaced with a local income tax, also a Plaid Cymru policy for some years. At the time of writing, Plaid Cymru’s Fairness Commission is researching and considering the party’s policies on taxation, with local income tax being a focus of discussion.

The biggest problem with the council tax is quite simple: those on low incomes pay far too much, whilst the rich get away with paying so little that it is laughable. Similar arguments can be made about many taxes, especially UK income tax, but council tax is far more regressive than almost any other tax. In Wales, the council tax is paid for Bands A to I, corresponding to the historic value of a house. A Band I bill is about 3.5 times greater than a Band A bill, but the typical Band I house is worth around 10 times the typical Band A house’s worth. A typical Band I resident, earning over £50,000 a year, will have and income 15.5 times greater than a person on income support, who may pay Band A council tax.

Continue reading »

Share
 

Once upon a time, Plaid Cymru used to hold an annual conference which attracted nationalists from all corners of the country to debate ideas and to decide policy. But not now.

The agenda for the autumn gathering was closely perused to gain insight into how nationalist thoughts in Wales were moving.

This same may still be happening with the Tories – their annual meeting, which closely follows in time, publishes both an agenda of what will be discussed, and a long list of motions hopefully submitted for debate – and then, thank god, rejected.

The vast majority of motions get no further than that long list. But those provide a host of points of crucial importance to discover the directions in which the membership of Britain’s greatest vote-winning machine is moving. Continue reading »

Share

Cambria Books

New publication.
Important contribution to our knowledge of the Arab Spring by Denis Campbell.

Cambria Books

New publication. Entertaining guide to the US Elections by Denis Campbell.
© 2011 CAMBRIA POLITICO Suffusion theme by Sayontan Sinha